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High Winds and Minor Flooding may Disrupt the Evening Commute
According to the latest forecast, rain is expected to begin Sunday evening around 7 p.m. and continue overnight into early Monday morning. Periods of moderate rain are likely throughout the overnight hours and into the Monday morning commute. Scattered thunderstorms are possible late Monday morning through the afternoon, with the greatest risk for stronger storms during the evening. The most active period is expected between about 6 p.m. Monday and 2 a.m. Tuesday as the cold front moves across the region. During this time, heavier downpours, gusty winds, and organized thunderstorms may develop. Rain will gradually taper early Tuesday morning. A brief rain or snow shower cannot be ruled out on Tuesday morning as cooler air moves into the region.
Rainfall totals across New York City are expected from 1.0 to 1.1 inches, with localized amounts up to 1.25 inches where thunderstorms develop. Most rainfall rates will remain under 0.25 inches per hour, though heavier showers could briefly produce rates near 1 inch per hour. There is a Wind Advisory in effect from 2 p.m. Monday to 4 a.m. Tuesday. South to southeast winds are expected to increase through Monday, with sustained winds of 15 to 22 mph and gusts up to 55 mph during the evening as the cold front moves through the area.
The severe weather risk remains low but not zero. There is a slight chance of isolated strong storms capable of producing damaging wind gusts on Monday evening. Localized flooding is possible, especially in low-lying areas, underpasses, and locations with poor drainage. Ponding on roadways may develop during heavier downpours and where storm drains are clogged.
New Yorkers should allow extra travel time during periods of heavy rain, especially during the Monday evening commute. Avoid driving through flooded streets. Even shallow water can stall vehicles. Secure loose outdoor items such as patio furniture or trash bins before winds increase. If thunder is heard, move indoors and stay away from open areas. Clear debris from nearby storm drains if it is safe to do so to help reduce street flooding. Stay informed by checking the forecast and signing up for emergency alerts at nyc.gov/notifynyc. Have a plan and “Be Ready” for thunderstorms and rainfall by visiting nyc.gov/beready.
For the latest updates sign up for emergency alerts by visiting the Notify NYC page, texting 'NotifyNYC' to 692-692 or call 311.
New Yorkers are encouraged to sign up for Notify NYC, the City’s free emergency notification system, by texting NOTIFYNYC to 692-692 or calling 311. Alerts are available in 14 languages, including American Sign Languages.
For updates, visit NYC.gov/NotifyNYC or follow @NotifyNYC on social media.