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Population Projections
New York City and Boroughs, 2030 to 2055

Sources: 2020 Census; Population Estimates Program, Vintage 2022 Estimates; DCP Population Projections for NYMTC Note, projected populations are rounded to reflect uncertainty.

About the Projections

This set of New York City’s county-level population projections was initially created by the Department of City Planning in 2018/2019 for the New York Metropolitan Transportation Council (NYMTC) and were adopted by NYMTC’s Forecast Working Group members in October 2020. (Projections and methodology documents are available on NYMTC’s website).

In 2024, the projections went through a re-benchmarking process to account for the following: the 2020 Census (NYC population of 8.8 million), the official 2022 Census estimate (NYC population of 8.34 million), as well as updated housing completions, permits, and known housing projects in the pipeline. (The re-benchmarked projections are available on NYMTC’s website).

While there was a decrease in New York City’s population between 2020 and 2022, the housing stock continued to grow. The population rebounded after 2022, accompanied by further housing production. Given New York City’s recent population growth and housing production, and plans for more housing, we project continued population growth through 2055.

  • New York City Population Projections by Age/Sex and Borough, 2010-2040 (Updated from the original PlaNYC Projections, 2000-2030)

    PDF Document Full Report (2.2 mb) – A detailed analysis of the total population projected to 2040, as well as the projected school-age and 65+ populations. Includes an in-depth description of the projection methodology.

    PDF Document Briefing Booklet (775 kb) – An illustrated guide to the projection methodology and to the major findings.

  • New York City Population Projections by Age/Sex and Borough, 2000-2030

    PDF Document Full Report (680 k) – A detailed analysis of the total population projected to 2030, as well as the projected school-age and elderly populations. Includes an in-depth description of the projection methodology.

    PDF Document Briefing Booklet (720 k) – an illustrated guide to the projection methodology and to the major findings.

    Related Links:

    • Visit PLANYC 2030 - Learn about the challenges New York City will face over the next 25 years -- and how you can help solve them.
    • Mayor Bloomberg's Sustainability Address - Mayor Michael R. Bloomberg cited DCP's population projections in his December 12, 2006 address regarding planning for a sustainable future.
    • PDF Document City Planning Press Release: City Planning Demographers Paint Picture of City's Future Population At 9.1 Million, Detailing How City Will Grow By 2030.